Iraq vs Norway Prediction — 16.06.2026

Teams Form Analysis

Iraq has had a challenging run in their last ten matches, managing only one win against Andorra, while suffering losses to Venezuela and Jordan. They have scored a total of 4 goals and conceded 5 in these matches, indicating a struggle in both attack and defense. In contrast, Norway has shown a more robust performance, with 3 wins, including a notable victory over Sweden, and a total of 9 goals scored against 5 conceded in their last ten matches.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of expected goals (xG), Iraq has averaged 0.8 goals per game, while Norway has been more prolific with an average of 1.8 goals per game. This discrepancy suggests that Norway is more effective in converting their chances into goals. Additionally, Iraq's recent matches have seen them struggle to maintain possession, averaging around 40%, while Norway has managed to hold the ball about 54% of the time in their recent games, which could play a crucial role in the upcoming encounter.

Iraq — Norway Prediction

• Exact Score: 1 – 2
• 1st Half: 0 – 1
• Goals (Total): 1 – 2
• Corners: 5 – 6
• Fouls: 10 – 12
• Yellow Cards: 2 – 1
• Shots on target: 4 – 6
• Offsides: 2 – 1
• Possession: 45% – 55%

In terms of tactical expectations, Iraq is likely to adopt a defensive approach, focusing on counter-attacks to exploit any gaps left by Norway's attacking players. Meanwhile, Norway may look to dominate possession and utilize their width to stretch Iraq's defense, creating opportunities for their forwards to capitalize on.

3 Reasons Why Norway Will Win

• Recent Form: Norway's recent form shows 3 wins in their last 5 matches, while Iraq has only 1 win in the same period, indicating a significant disparity in confidence and performance levels.
• Goals Scoring Ability: Norway averages 1.8 goals per game compared to Iraq's 0.8, highlighting Norway's superior attacking threat.
• Possession Statistics: Norway's ability to maintain 54% possession in recent matches suggests they will control the game, limiting Iraq's chances to score.