11.06.2026
Reading time 7 min

World Cup 2026 Predictions: Final Matchups, Top Scorers, and Surprise Contenders

World Cup 2026: Guardian writers’ predictions for the tournament

Which Teams Will Compete in the Final?

As the World Cup approaches, discussions abound regarding potential finalists, with many experts suggesting a clash between Spain and Portugal, where Spain is favored to win. Alexander Abnos, having engaged with the Guardian’s Bracketology tool, consistently finds Spain at the top of his predictions.

In his latest simulation, Nick Ames envisions a rematch between France and Argentina, leaning towards a French victory. Meanwhile, Ella Brockway foresees an exciting matchup featuring Lamine Yamal for Spain against Lionel Messi’s Argentina, predicting a narrow win for Spain.

Ben Fisher believes that France will outplay Portugal in the final, while Bryan Armen Graham expresses confidence in England, asserting they will triumph over France due to their depth and experienced management.

Barry Glendenning offers a more cautious perspective, suggesting a Spain versus France final but acknowledging the unpredictability of the outcome. David Hytner highlights Didier Deschamps’ attacking talent as crucial in overcoming Argentina.

Lamine Yamal scores Spain’s first goal during the Euro 2024 semi-final against France in Munich

Paul MacInnes shares optimism for England, foreseeing a match against Spain where Spain’s technical prowess could be decisive. Ewan Murray anticipates a repeat of the previous final but is convinced that France will claim victory this time.

Osasu Obayiuwana expresses confidence in France’s depth, predicting they could secure their third title, with Argentina as likely challengers. Jeff Rueter sees Spain defeating Portugal, intensifying their ongoing rivalry.

Max Rushden, however, remains undecided, contemplating whether Spain or France will win while leaving room for doubt. Leander Schaerlaeckens emphasizes France’s wealth of talent and experience, which he believes will lead them to triumph over Argentina.

Jacob Steinberg expects Spain to prevail against Argentina in the final, depending on the performance of Luis de la Fuente’s wingers. Jonathan Wilson predicts a French victory over Spain, citing potential injuries and fatigue that may affect the Spanish squad.

Who Will Claim the Golden Boot?

Mikel Oyarzabal emerges as a strong contender for the Golden Boot, with numerous chances to score against Cape Verde and potentially advance far into the tournament. Alexander Abnos notes that he has a prime opportunity to rack up significant goals.

France’s Kylian Mbappé takes on Côte d’Ivoire’s Wilfried Singo during their friendly meeting in Nantes this month.

Harry Kane, although likely not to lift the trophy, is in stellar form and could achieve a strong tally in England’s opening matches, as Nick Ames points out. Ewan Murray anticipates Kane leading England to the semi-finals and scoring in the third-place match to surpass Kylian Mbappé.

Ben Fisher concurs that Kane will have plenty of opportunities to score, while others, including BAG, suggest that Mbappé, despite the challenge of winning the Golden Boot for a second time, remains a formidable candidate due to his scoring ability and expected appearances.

Several analysts emphasize Oyarzabal’s potential, particularly in the group stages.

Paul MacInnes underscores Kane’s reliability, asserting that the manageable difficulty of England’s early fixtures will enhance his scoring opportunities. He recalls Gary Lineker’s past success with the Golden Boot, despite England’s limited advancement.

Speculation exists that even players from teams unlikely to go far, such as Norway’s Erling Haaland, could emerge as surprise top scorers. José Reyes believes this could solidify Kane’s legacy and bolster his Ballon d’Or candidacy.

Leander Schaerlaeckens and Jonathan Wilson also express confidence in Mbappé, noting his critical role in France’s attack and his existing World Cup goal record.

Potential Surprise Teams

Ecuador stands out as a potential surprise team, having conceded only five goals during qualification. Alexander Abnos believes they have the capability to reach the semi-finals, while Nick Ames highlights their world-class defense and midfield leadership.

Morocco’s players go on the charge after their penalty shootout victory over Spain at the 2022 World Cup

Brazil’s Vinícius Júnior challenges Moisés Caicedo of Ecuador during a World Cup qualifier in Curitiba.

Ewan Murray agrees, noting that their strong defense could offset any scoring shortcomings. Norway’s impressive qualification run, led by Erling Haaland, is also recognized.

Senegal’s defensive prowess and quick counterattacks are noted, with BAG suggesting they could make a significant impact.

Despite some skepticism regarding their attack, Ecuador’s balanced team could defy expectations. Japan’s aggressive style of play might also yield surprising results, especially given their challenging group.

Fans are optimistic about nations like Cape Verde, making their World Cup debut, showcasing their talent even without star players. Ecuador’s mix of experience and youth positions them as a squad to watch closely.

Breakthrough Players to Watch

Gilberto Mora from Mexico is expected to make a notable impression, showcasing remarkable maturity and creativity at just 17 years old. His potential to shine on the global stage is noted by Alexander Abnos.

Antonio Nusa from Norway, another young talent, could garner attention, particularly if he capitalizes on opportunities alongside established stars like Erling Haaland. Côte d’Ivoire’s Yan Diomandé is highlighted as a player to watch, with potential club transfers on the horizon.

Côte d’Ivoire’s Yan Diomande attempts to evade Burkina Faso’s Issa Kaboré in Marrakech

Argentina midfielder Nico Paz steps on the gas against Zambia in Buenos Aires

Rayan, only 19, has made a mark in the Premier League and is set to become a standout player for Brazil. Others suggest Kenan Yildiz of Turkey could also emerge if the team meets expectations.

With favorable tournament conditions for skilled wingers, players like Diomandé and Rayan are expected to excel. Young talents such as Keito Nakamura and Nico Paz are also on the radar, as pointed out by various analysts.

What Teams Will Capture Attention?

Iran is generating keen interest as analysts ponder how external factors might influence their performance. Players like Alexander Isak are anticipated to shine, alongside teams like Morocco and Senegal.

Lamine Yamal is highlighted as a young player attracting significant attention, with expectations that he could become a defining figure in the tournament.

As an Irishman, there is excitement for Roberto “The Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ Raymond James Stadium is a cathedral of sport” Lopes from Cape Verde, while Thomas Tuchel’s management of England is under close scrutiny. Fans eagerly await the dynamics surrounding established players like Kevin De Bruyne during the tournament.

Erling Haaland celebrates one of his two goals in a 4-1 victory for Norway in Italy during World Cup qualifying

Erling Haaland’s first international tournament is stirring excitement, as fans are curious to see how he will perform on such a grand stage. Additionally, the anticipation surrounding teams from smaller nations adds to the overall excitement.

Prospects for England and Scotland

Scotland’s Ché Adams scores his second goal past Yomar Rocha of Bolivia in New Jersey

England’s path under Thomas Tuchel remains uncertain, with forecasts suggesting a quarter-final exit, while Scotland is expected to reach the last 16. Nick Ames believes England will face formidable competition, potentially falling short against Brazil.

While some predict Scotland will be eliminated early, others see a path to the semi-finals for England. The unpredictability of the draw heightens the anticipation surrounding both teams.

Although some analysts foresee England overcoming Scotland in their opening match, they caution that a quarter-final draw against Brazil could pose challenges. The excitement surrounding both teams is palpable as the tournament draws near.

Host Nations’ Prospects

Predictions for the host nations vary widely. The United States might advance to the last 16, while Mexico is anticipated to progress to the quarter-finals. Canada’s journey may conclude earlier, possibly in the round of 32.

There is optimism for the US and Mexico to survive the group stage, but their ability to progress beyond that remains uncertain. Analysts express mixed feelings regarding Canada’s chances, with many believing they may not advance far.

African Nations’ Potential

Morocco’s previous achievement of reaching the World Cup semi-finals has set expectations high for their upcoming performance. With their new coach at the helm, they are viewed as capable of replicating or even exceeding that success.

Anticipated Moments Beyond the Games

Despite the overshadowing negativity surrounding the tournament, there is hope for remarkable cultural exchanges and positive experiences. Observers express a desire to witness the warm, welcoming side of America, often overlooked.

Anticipation surrounds various unique moments, such as unexpected narratives and experiences that may unfold during the tournament. Many look forward to personal journeys and connections made throughout this global event.

As fans gear up for the World Cup, there is a strong eagerness to embrace the shared joy that soccer brings. The hope is that this celebration will transcend the recognized issues associated with the event.

There’s excitement about the potential for genuine connections and the vibrant spirit of the tournament to shine through. This World Cup presents an opportunity for a collective celebration of culture and sport.